VALORVALORKapital Finans
Company valuation for Turkish businesses

Selling a company in Turkey?

Or want to know what your Turkish business is worth?

VALOR reads the Turkish trial balance and financial statements directly and produces a report of around 100 pages in 13 main chapters: value range in TRY and USD, borrowing capacity, risk map and value creation roadmap. Written in the language a buyer, a bank committee and an investment board read, with the source of every figure visible.

100pages
13chapters
5,000Monte Carlo runs
3scenarios, 10 years
01 · Why a specialist

A Turkish company needs a Turkish lens and an international standard.

High inflation and the exchange rate distort reported figures; a company that looks profitable in lira may tell a different story in dollars. Much of the detail sits in the Turkish trial balance (mizan) under the national uniform chart of accounts, which international buyers and lenders rarely read. VALOR reads those records directly, tests them for consistency and rebuilds the company's earning power on a comparable basis, in both TRY and USD.

Data loaded into the system is not used to produce results directly. It first passes consistency checks; the relationships between the balance sheet, the income statement and the cash flow are compared. The aim is to show sustainable operating strength, not only the results recorded in the books.
From the report's foreword
1

Owners selling or bringing in a partner

Defend the value on future cash flow, not on machinery or past turnover. Value range, cross-method consistency and an exit scenario are ready for the negotiation.

2

Foreign investors buying in Turkey

See whether the asking price is reasonable. Comparable multiples, Borsa Istanbul sector multiples, a Monte Carlo distribution and tornado sensitivity on the same page, in TRY and USD.

3

Finance teams preparing for a bank

The key measures a lender looks at are calculated in advance: DSCR, the CFADS bridge, borrowing capacity and its binding constraint, covenant compliance, collateral and haircuts.

4

Boards setting strategy

Value drivers, the spread between ROIC and WACC, margin change analysis and a value creation roadmap: which lever moves value, and by how much.

  1. 1

    Introduction and methodology

    Purpose, scope, principles, assumptions, limitations and ethical framework of the valuation. What the report claims and what it does not claim is written up front.

  2. 2

    Company profile and business model

    Company details, history, ownership and key person dependency, product, customer and market concentration, sales breakdown, legal status.

    Key person riskCustomer concentrationSales breakdown
  3. 3

    Executive summary and investor score

    Equity value, enterprise value, value range and decision summary on one page. The investor score rates strengths and areas of attention.

    Equity valueValue rangeInvestor score
  4. 4

    Sector and macro framework

    Sector outlook, Turkish macroeconomic outlook, competitors and peers, company versus sector comparison using Central Bank of Turkey data by NACE code, position within the sector.

    Central Bank / NACE comparisonSector position
  5. 5

    Financial analysis

    Historical financials, growth and margins, CAGR in TRY and USD, margin change analysis, performance indicators, DuPont analysis, cost structure.

    USD CAGRDuPontMargin change
  6. 6

    Cash flow and investment

    Indirect cash flow statement, working capital days and the net cash cycle, investment plan, reinvestment and return on capital, the spread between ROIC and WACC.

    Cash cycleROIC - WACC
  7. 7

    The lender's view and borrowing capacity

    Liquidity and leverage, debt and maturity structure, DSCR, CFADS bridge, borrowing capacity and the binding constraint, maturity scenario matrix, collateral and haircuts, receivables concentration, stress test, covenant compliance, synthetic credit score, credit readiness checklist, Altman Z early warning.

    DSCRCFADSCovenantSynthetic scoreAltman Z
  8. 8

    Projection

    Assumptions, three scenarios over ten years, free cash flow build-up, projection summary in TRY and USD, projection realism check.

    3 scenarios10 yearsRealism check
  9. 9

    Valuation build-up

    Normalised EBITDA, balance sheet and value adjustments, discount rate (WACC) build-up with an inflation-linked path, terminal value, the bridge from enterprise value to equity, cross-method consistency.

    WACCTerminal valueEV to equity bridge
  10. 10

    Valuation result

    Result and method badges, value range (football field), comparable and Borsa Istanbul sector multiples, net asset value, value bridge and value creation roadmap, tornado and matrix sensitivity, Monte Carlo robustness analysis, investor exit scenario, return bridge, dividend capacity.

    Football fieldMonte CarloTornadoExit scenarioFCFE
  11. 11

    Risks, catalysts and investment thesis

    Risks, catalysts, financial anomalies and checkpoints, SWOT, a financial check-up report card and data integrity checks.

  12. 12

    Conclusion and recommendations

    Opinion, priority ranking and management agenda; data source note.

  13. 13

    Appendices

    Full multi-year financial statements, ratio detail, full Altman Z table, source status table, calculation method and formula set, data coverage and quality.

03 · Why Valor

We do not produce figures; we produce the basis for every figure.

An unsupported forecast, an arbitrary multiple or a value written after a glance at a few ratios is easy. The hard part is showing where every line comes from. Six things set Valor apart:

Consistency first, value second

The balance sheet, income statement and cash flow are reconciled against each other. One-off items, related party transactions and unusual entries are separated. The anomaly scan is visible in the report.

Built on Turkish reality

Central Bank of Turkey sector balance sheets, comparison by NACE code, the inflation path, exchange rates, country risk premium, Damodaran data sets and a sector beta estimated from Borsa Istanbul panel data. International methodology, local data.

Through the lender's eyes

The questions a credit committee asks are answered in advance: debt service coverage, the capacity constraint, maturity scenarios, collateral quality, covenant signals and a synthetic credit score.

Uncertainty made visible

A range instead of a point value: three scenarios, a ten-year projection, a 5,000-run Monte Carlo simulation, tornado charts and a growth by WACC matrix. You can read how far the value can move.

Value creation roadmap

What happens to value if collection days fall by ten? If the margin rises by one point? The effect of each lever on equity value is calculated; the report ends with an action plan, not just a diagnosis.

Auditable

A source note on every page, data quality warnings and a formula set appendix. What was assumed, what was measured and what is unknown are all written down. No parameter is published without expert approval.

04 · Sample pages

Not screenshots: the report itself.

The pages below are taken from a real report produced by the system (Turkish edition). Each chapter opens with a numbered heading; company details, page number and version are printed on every page.

Report cover
CoverBrand, company, sector and report details, stamped with report and system version.
Value range page
3.1 Decision summaryEquity value, enterprise value and the pessimistic, base and optimistic range at a glance.
DuPont analysis
5.5 and 5.6 Performance and DuPontCAGR in TRY and USD, sustainable growth, the three components of ROE.
Credit score page
7.10 and 7.11 Covenants and credit scoreBase and stress DSCR, threshold check, synthetic score band.
Tornado and matrix
10.6 and 10.7 Roadmap and sensitivityLever effects, tornado chart, growth by WACC matrix.
Monte Carlo page
10.8 Monte Carlo5,000 runs, the P10 to P90 range, median and percentile table.
Return bridge
10.10 and 10.11 Return bridge and dividend capacityInvestor exit and FCFE-based distribution capacity.
Bridge page
Bridge and constraint pagesWhich constraint binds borrowing capacity, step by step.

Amounts shown in the images belong to a sample company and are for illustration only.

05 · Process

From documents to report in four steps.

1

Share the documents

Trial balance, balance sheet and income statement; ideally the last five to seven years. We work from the Turkish originals; no translation is needed on your side.

2

Reading and reconciliation

Documents are parsed, accounts are mapped and consistency checks run. Anomalies are flagged and missing data is listed openly.

3

Expert review

WACC, terminal growth and normalisation decisions are recorded with their rationale and approved by an expert. No unapproved parameter is published.

4

Report delivery

The report is delivered as a PDF and on an online panel, with an English summary and discussion available for international readers.

Tailored to your company

Request a proposal and a sample report.

The scope depends on the size of the company, the number of periods reviewed and your purpose: a sale, a partner's entry, an acquisition, a bank application or a board decision. After a short initial call we send a written proposal and a sample report.

Selling, buying or valuing a company in Turkey from abroad? Conversations are held in English or Turkish, and the key findings are summarised in English.
Within scope
  • 13 main chapters, around 100 pages: valuation, lender's view, projection, risk and appendices
  • Three scenarios, a ten-year projection and Monte Carlo robustness analysis
  • Sector comparison with Central Bank of Turkey data by NACE code, Borsa Istanbul and comparable multiples
  • The lender's view: DSCR, borrowing capacity, covenants, collateral, synthetic score
  • Value creation roadmap and management agenda
  • PDF report, online panel access and Q&A on the report
  • Expert review and parameter approval with documented rationale
Next step

After your request we hold a short initial call, share the document list and agree the timetable. Delivery depends on receiving the documents in full.

06 · Who prepares it

Kapital Finans

London-based corporate finance advisory

We are a UK-based advisory working in corporate finance, company valuation and debt restructuring, specialised in Turkish companies. Valor is the platform we built to bring the reports we write in the field under one methodology, one formula set and one quality gate. The parameters that drive the valuation are not published without expert approval.

Kapital Finans, United Kingdom · 87 Millmead Business Center, Millmead Road, London, N17 9QU
Phone: +90 532 669 48 68 · info@kapitalfinans.com

The limits of the report are stated clearly. A Valor report is prepared for general valuation and financial decision support. It does not replace a statutory audit, a legal opinion, tax advice, an official appraisal, a credit approval decision or investment advice. Projections and scenarios are assessments based on assumptions and carry no guarantee of being realised. Valuation results do not constitute a binding purchase or sale price. The party providing information and documents is responsible for their accuracy. Key inputs to any decision must be verified.